“What we found is that with the 60% tariff, the cost [of a turnkey energy storage system] increases by 60% compared to 2025, so this is quite a big cost jump if the US actually decided to do so,” Kikuma says.
Around the beginning of this year, BloombergNEF (BNEF) released its annual Battery Storage System Cost Survey, which found that global average turnkey energy storage system prices had fallen 40% from 2023 numbers to US$165/kWh in 2024.
That means costs in 2026 would return back to 2024 levels which could slow down the growth in US energy storage deployments, but the analyst says that even so, BNEF anticipates that the momentum of the country’s energy storage industry and growth in deployments would remain strong.
Still, Kikuma says that other research BNEF has undertaken shows that the cost of US-made batteries or energy storage systems will still be in a much more expensive price range than the imports.
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